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Gold recorded gains in the first week of July. After falling below $1400, as it traded at $1433.80. The demand for safe-haven metal increased as investors have less risk appetite than they had it previously.
Many bargain buyers invested during the corrective dip, which was followed by a drop in the US dollar index that helped the market bulls.
A number of traders believe the rate below $1400 can provide an opportunity to prepare for buying as silver continues to trade below $15.50 and it provides great opportunities to identify and benefits from that ratio level of the two metals.
The metal may gain once the dollar peaks, in addition to, it is also been looked versus alternative industrial metals like base metals, copper and crude.
The growing trade tensions between the US and China, and the stock market volatility can hit most commodities. The June performance was one of the best in the last few months as the prices were up 8.73% in June 2019 where the key factor driving the rate was US-China trade issues and the FOMC policies which are moving towards a lower interest rate in future.
The treasury yield is declining with the rate cuts and inflation is stable at 2%. The weakness in dollar created by various economic parameters and the fall in the US yields can affect the precious metals in a positive way.
Higher volatility tends to create a reason to support precious metal buying. There can be a rally in the price which can change the multiyear descending trendline from 2011 highs.
The market is undergoing a shift in currency dynamics where experts believe the weaker or riskier economies may face issues and only the strong economies may continue to perform.
The strong currencies include Japanese Yen, Canadian dollar, US dollar and Swiss Franc, and weaker currencies (as the Year to Date graphs) are New Zealand, Australian Dollar, British Pound and Euro.
As the markets are gaining to reach levels beyond the expected boundaries pushing the historical normal price, the price of yellow metal is in the midst of the fear and greed as countries with larger reserves can attempt to offset certain losses of their economic weakness and currency loss through it.
The recent gain in the yellow metal was, mainly, driven by the attempt to offset the loss of currency and economic factors.
The precious metals graphs analysis by expert’s find if the XAUUSD breaks $1440 it can hit Asian currencies and push the Asian currency price to below historical levels creating a panic shift in the market.
Such changes may become evident in mid-August or early September months. Many investors believe such issues can lead to a currency collapse and a kind of debt crisis situation.
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